Anna Kalinskaya vs. Kamilla Rakhimova – Prediction, Odds & Picks for the WTA Hong Kong Open

The stage is set at the 2025 Hong Kong Tennis Open (WTA 250) for a showdown between two Russians: Anna Kalinskaya (seeded 6, world No. 38) vs. Kamilla Rakhimova (world No. 103) in the Round of 32 at Victoria Park, Hong Kong. Dimers+2The Stats Zone+2

🔍 Match-Preview

Kalinskaya enters with momentum after reaching the quarter-finals in Tokyo and carries the higher ranking and seeding into this match. The Stats Zone+1 Rakhimova, on the other hand, has struggled recently – with reports noting just two wins from her last nine outings and a drop outside the top 100. The Stats Zone

Head-to-head:

• They’ve met twice before, both times won by Kalinskaya in straight sets (6-2 6-3 in Washington, July 2025). Scores24+1

• On hard courts – the same surface in Hong Kong – the trend heavily favours Kalinskaya. MatchStat

📊 Odds & Prediction

Our models give Kalinskaya roughly a 74% chance of victory in this clash. Dimers
Current quoted odds (moneyline) reflect that heavy favourite status: approx. –303 for Kalinskaya vs. +260 for Rakhimova. Dimers+1

A consensus among analysts:

• Main pick: Kalinskaya to win, likely in straight sets (2-0). The Stats Zone+1

• Secondary pick: If you’re hunting value, consider Rakhimova ‘upset’ live if Kalinskaya starts slowly – but that’s higher risk.

• Games total market: With two straight-set wins previously and Kalinskaya’s dominance, under-20.5 games might be a reasonable working assumption. Wincomparator+1

✅ Why Kalinskaya Has the Edge

• Superior ranking & seed status.

• Previous victories vs. this opponent, with no sets dropped.

• Better recent form and arguably more comfort on the hard-court surface here.

• Rakhimova’s confidence appears shaky, making this matchup less favourable for her.

⚠️ What Could Rakhimova Do to Flip It?

• Bring an aggressive first-serve and shorten points – that could level the playing field.

• Force Kalinskaya to play extra balls and exploit any dip in focus.

• Start fast and aim to claim the first set; early momentum might damage Kalinskaya’s rhythm.

🧠 Final Word

Expect Kalinskaya to deliver – this appears well within her comfort zone. For the adventurous, a small stake on Rakhimova live could be tempting after a shaky opening set by the favourite. Otherwise, ease into the event with the favourite’s victory. Hong Kong’s hard courts may offer some heat and quick conditions, but all indicators suggest this one won’t turn into a marathon.

Would you like betting-style picks for specific set scores, or a deeper look at serve/return stats for both players?