Will Aryna Sabalenka or Coco Gauff have a better season in 2026? Ex-stars predict

As the 2026 women’s tennis season gets underway, a compelling rivalry remains at the heart of the WTA Tour: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Coco Gauff. Both players have established themselves as elite competitors with multiple Grand Slam finals and major titles between them, but pundits, former pros, and analysts are already debating who’s poised for a stronger year ahead — the powerful world No. 1 from Belarus or the rising American star.

Sabalenka enters 2026 with considerable momentum. She dominated much of the 2025 season, reaching numerous finals, winning several titles, and finishing strong as the world’s top-ranked woman. Her combination of ferocious serving power, improved tactical play, and hard-earned consistency makes her a favorite in many eyes. In fact, analysts believe she’s likely to carry that form into 2026 — especially with her eye on another Australian Open title after beginning her season with a commanding win in Brisbane.

One influential Tennis.com piece assembled predictions on the Sabalenka–Gauff comparison, revealing contrasting viewpoints from insiders. Some former players and commentators lean toward Sabalenka, citing her reliability and recent results as indicators that she’ll have the better overall season. They point to her consistency deep into tournaments and her mental toughness under pressure as key advantages.

David Kane, for example, highlighted Sabalenka’s off-season visibility and tournament play as a sign she’s poised for more big results, noting that even if Gauff continues improving, the Belarusian’s all-around game and experience could give her the edge.

However, it isn’t a foregone conclusion. Other experts argue that Gauff’s potential upside is enormous, provided she continues to refine her serve and stabilize other parts of her game. Her athleticism, tactical versatility, and mental resilience — proven by her past breakthrough wins — make her a formidable contender for big titles and deep runs throughout the season.

Indeed, Gauff has already shown that she can close out high-pressure matches, including victories over world-class opponents at major events. She’s won a Grand Slam and remains among the game’s most dynamic players. If she can maintain or enhance that level — especially across all surfaces — she could outshine even the top-ranked Sabalenka.

The rivalry between the two is as close as it gets: their head-to-head is nearly even, and their matches often come down to fine margins in crucial moments. Analysts have described their clashes as intense, tactically rich encounters, suggesting that whichever player maintains not just physical strength but mental clarity will likely come out on top more frequently.

Beyond raw talent and results, some former pros also stress mental resilience as a critical factor for the season’s outcome. Gauff’s supporters argue that overcoming pressure moments could push her past Sabalenka in big tournaments should she harness that growth. Meanwhile, Sabalenka’s advocates point to her proven ability to convert opportunities deep into the season — something that could help her accumulate ranking points and silverware consistently.

Realistically, both players are strong candidates to headline the 2026 WTA Tour. Sabalenka’s blend of power and consistency positions her as a favorite in many eyes, while Gauff’s athleticism and big-match instincts could propel her to an equally impressive campaign if she addresses areas like serve reliability and shot selection.

Ultimately, experts seem divided but respectful of both players’ potential. Some ex-stars and analysts still lean toward Sabalenka due to her recent achievements and top ranking, while others predict a breakout year for Gauff if she can push past her technical hurdles and consistently challenge the sport’s elite. At the very least, the 2026 season promises more thrilling chapters in one of women’s tennis’ most compelling contemporary rivalries.

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