MusaThe 2025 Cincinnati Open serves up a thrilling third-round clash between defending US Open champion Coco Gauff and Ukrainian power-hitter Dayana Yastremska — a match dripping with storyline, recent history, and high stakes.
For Gauff, this encounter carries more than just ranking points. It’s a chance for revenge. The 20-year-old suffered a shock second-round exit to Yastremska at Wimbledon earlier this summer, a defeat that halted her grass-court momentum and forced her to recalibrate ahead of the hard-court season. Now back on her preferred surface, Gauff is eager to flip the script.
“I’m definitely aware of what happened at Wimbledon,” Gauff admitted earlier this week. “I respect her game, but I feel like I’ve made adjustments since then. This is a different surface, a different environment.”
Those adjustments have been evident in Cincinnati so far. The American has displayed sharper serving patterns, more patience in baseline rallies, and an increased willingness to step inside the court to dictate points. Her second-round victory over a tricky opponent showcased her ability to raise her level under pressure — a skill that will be vital against Yastremska’s all-or-nothing shot-making.
Yastremska, ranked just outside the top 30, comes into this match brimming with confidence. The 24-year-old Ukrainian thrives on disrupting opponents’ rhythm with her fearless baseline hitting. Her Wimbledon win over Gauff was built on aggressive returns and flat, penetrating groundstrokes that left the American little time to respond.
Hard courts present a slightly different dynamic. While Yastremska’s power still translates, the surface also rewards Gauff’s superior movement and defensive skills. The question will be whether Yastremska can consistently find her targets without offering Gauff too many counterpunching opportunities.
Another factor could be the crowd. Playing in front of a home audience, Gauff is likely to enjoy strong support, which could help her in tight moments. However, Yastremska has shown in the past that she can thrive in high-energy environments, sometimes using the crowd’s energy as extra motivation.
Key Factors to Watch:
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First Serve Percentage: Gauff’s serve is her foundation; if she keeps her first serve percentage above 65%, she can control more points.
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Unforced Errors: Yastremska’s aggressive style can be her greatest weapon and biggest liability. The margin for error will be slim.
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Return Games: Both players have strong return skills, meaning quick breaks of serve could set the tone early.
Prediction:
While Yastremska’s firepower is always dangerous, Gauff’s recent form, home advantage, and tactical improvements tilt the scales in her favor. Expect a competitive battle with momentum swings, but Gauff should edge it in two tight sets.
Winner: Coco Gauff (7-5, 6-4)
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