Olga Danilovic vs Leylah Fernandez Preview & Prediction | 2025 French Open | First Round

🎾 Match Overview

• Event: 2025 French Open – Women’s Singles, Round of 128

• Date: Sunday, May 25, 2025

• Players:

  • Leylah Fernandez – 27th seed, current world No. 27

  • Olga Danilovic – unseeded, ranked around world No. 34

Both players are left‑handed and bring contrasting styles to the clay court, making this a compelling matchup.

🔥 Form & Recent Performance

Leylah Fernandez

• A former Roland Garros quarterfinalist (2022), but her clay season in 2025 has lacked consistency—just 2 wins in 6 matches and recent opening losses in Strasbourg and Rome .

• At her best, she can construct points effectively and possesses solid baseline endurance—yet the inconsistency is worrying on a clay surface.

Olga Danilovic

• Marking stronger form: won the Challenger in Antalya, reached the final at the Rouen Open, and back‑to‑back solid clay results.

• Boasts a 70% winning rate on clay this season, significantly higher than Fernandez’s performance on the surface.

🤜 Head‑to‑Head

• They’ve met once before at the 2021 Billie Jean King Cup, with Fernandez winning in three tight sets.

• This balanced scoreline suggests a closely contested clash, likely to go to three sets.

📊 Odds & Predictions

• Betting odds reflect Danilovic as the slight favorite (e.g., –165 moneyline vs. +130 for Fernandez).

• Predictive models grant Danilovic around a 61% win probability.

🔍 Tactical Breakdown

• Fernandez relies on defensive discipline, left‑handed shot construction, and stamina, but lacks big weapons and confidence on clay.

• Danilovic, taller with a strong two‑handed backhand and aggressive clay game, has a somewhat volatile serve, yet thrives in generating power and rhythm.

Clay‑court proficiency and recent confidence tilt the edge toward Danilovic. However, Fernandez’s previous win and tactical sharpness ensure no easy path.

🏆 Final Prediction

Expect a three‑setter. Danilovic’s form and clay‑court prowess give her the edge—pick: Olga Danilovic in 3 sets. Should Fernandez rediscover her early‑round spark, she could shock again. But the consensus swing strongly favors Danilovic.

✅ Summary Takeaways

• Danilovic brings stronger current results and clay‑court momentum.

• Fernandez has higher peak ability but lacks consistent form recently.

• Three‑set thriller expected; Danilovic to prevail with around 61% modeled probability.