Varvara Gracheva vs. Alycia Parks Prediction, Odds, Picks for WTA Miami Open 2025

In the opening round of the 2025 WTA Miami Open, Alycia Parks overcame Varvara Gracheva in a thrilling three-set match, winning 3-6, 7-6, 6-3. This victory marked Parks’ first progression beyond the first round at this tournament, setting up a second-round encounter with 26th seed Leylah Fernandez .

Pre-Match Expectations

Leading into the match, Parks held a slight edge in the betting markets, with odds around -135 (implying a 57.4% chance of victory), while Gracheva was listed at +105 . Analysts highlighted Parks’ powerful serve and aggressive playstyle as potential advantages, though her inconsistency, particularly in return games, was noted as a vulnerability . Gracheva, known for her baseline consistency and tactical play, was expected to challenge Parks by extending rallies and exploiting any lapses in her opponent’s concentration.

Match Summary

Gracheva started strong, taking the first set 6-3 by effectively neutralizing Parks’ serve and forcing errors. However, Parks rebounded in the second set, showcasing resilience and clutch play to edge out a 7-6 win in the tiebreak. In the decisive third set, Parks maintained her momentum, breaking Gracheva’s serve early and holding on to secure a 6-3 victory. The match statistics reflected Parks’ aggressive approach, with a higher number of winners but also more unforced errors compared to Gracheva.

Statistical Highlights

Aces: Parks’ serve was a significant weapon, contributing to her ability to dictate play.
Double Faults: Parks’ aggressive serving led to a higher number of double faults, a trade-off for her powerful delivery .
Break Points: Both players had opportunities, but Parks capitalized on key moments, particularly in the final set.

Looking Ahead

Parks’ victory demonstrates her potential to make deeper runs in major tournaments, especially if she can maintain consistency and manage unforced errors. Her upcoming match against Leylah Fernandez will be a test of her ability to adapt and sustain high-level play. For Gracheva, the match highlights areas for improvement, particularly in closing out matches and maintaining intensity throughout.

Overall, the encounter between Parks and Gracheva was a showcase of contrasting styles and competitive spirit, setting the stage for intriguing matchups in the subsequent rounds of the Miami Open.