Denis Shapovalov vs Pedro Martinez Preview & Prediction | 2025 French Open | First Round

Denis Shapovalov and Pedro Martinez will face off in an intriguing first-round encounter at the 2025 French Open. The match presents a classic clash of styles: Shapovalov’s explosive shot-making and aggressive baseline game against Martinez’s grit, consistency, and clay-court proficiency. As both players look to make their mark early in the tournament, this matchup promises a compelling contest.

Shapovalov, once considered a rising star of the ATP Tour, has struggled in recent seasons with inconsistency and injuries. However, when healthy and focused, the Canadian is a dangerous opponent on any surface. His left-handed game gives him an edge, especially with his heavy topspin forehand and slicing serve. But clay has historically been his least productive surface. His record at Roland Garros is modest, and long rallies on slow courts can expose his erratic shot selection.

Martinez, in contrast, thrives on clay. The Spaniard’s game is built for the surface, relying on heavy topspin, excellent court coverage, and an ability to construct points patiently. While not as flashy or powerful as Shapovalov, Martinez’s discipline and endurance make him a tough out in best-of-five matches. His recent form on the European clay swing suggests he’s in solid shape heading into Paris.

The key to this matchup will be who can dictate play early. If Shapovalov lands a high percentage of first serves and keeps rallies short, he can take control and frustrate Martinez. But if the rallies extend and Martinez draws errors out of Shapovalov with deep, looping returns and strategic angles, the Canadian may struggle to keep his composure.

Fitness could also be a factor. Martinez’s grind-it-out approach could wear down Shapovalov, especially if the match goes beyond three sets. Shapovalov’s temperament on court has improved, but he still shows signs of frustration when things don’t go his way—something Martinez could use to his advantage.

Prediction: While Shapovalov has the talent to win this match, Martinez’s steadiness and comfort on clay give him the edge. Expect a tight contest, possibly four or five sets, with Martinez outlasting his opponent. Martinez to win in four sets.