Leylah Annie Fernandez vs. Marta Kostyuk Prediction, Odds, Picks for WTA Italian Open 2025

The 2025 WTA Italian Open features an intriguing third-round clash between Canada’s Leylah Annie Fernandez and Ukraine’s Marta Kostyuk. Both players have showcased commendable performances leading up to this encounter, setting the stage for a competitive match on the clay courts of Rome.

Player Form and Recent Performances

Leylah Fernandez, currently ranked No. 26, has had a mixed season with a 12-10 win-loss record. Her recent victory over Antonia Ruzic (6-4, 6-0) in the second round demonstrated her potential to dominate matches. However, inconsistencies have been evident, particularly in her service games, where double faults have been a recurring issue. On clay, Fernandez holds a 2-2 record this season, indicating room for improvement on this surface.

Marta Kostyuk, ranked No. 27, enters this match with a stronger form, boasting 16 wins out of 26 matches in 2025. Her clay-court performance has been impressive, with a 6-2 record. Notably, Kostyuk reached the quarterfinals in Madrid, defeating players like Emma Raducanu and Veronika Kudermetova before a narrow loss to Aryna Sabalenka. In Rome, she has continued her solid form with straight-set victories over Alexandra Eala and Daria Kasatkina.

Odds and Predictions

Betting odds favor Kostyuk, with bookmakers offering her as the likely winner. For instance, Bet365 lists Kostyuk at 1.5 odds, while Fernandez stands at 2.65. Predictions suggest a 66% probability of Kostyuk winning the match, with a 45% chance of a straight-sets victory.

Match Outlook

Kostyuk’s recent performances and consistency on clay give her an edge in this matchup. Her ability to capitalize on opponents’ weaknesses and maintain composure under pressure will be crucial. Fernandez, while talented, needs to address her service inconsistencies and leverage her agility and shot-making skills to challenge Kostyuk effectively.

In conclusion, while Fernandez has the capability to make this a competitive encounter, Kostyuk’s current form and proficiency on clay courts position her as the favorite to advance to the next round of the Italian Open.